In today's article, we will touch on how the "Kılıçdaroğlu Factor" will affect the right-wing parties before the upcoming election. First of all, let's underline the following point:

"Which party does Kılıçdaroğlu affect the most?" In the article titled, "The party that will be most negatively affected by this picture is the Turkey Change Movement, led by Mustafa Sarıgül. We said that Sarıgül's 5-6 years of labor will be a waste. As a matter of fact, Mustafa Sarıgül was quick to lock the door of the Turkish Movement for Change (TDH).

The biggest handicap of the political movement led by Mustafa Sarıgül was not that it emerged with a vision and rhetoric that would carry the CHP to power, but that it positioned its entire mission largely on the opposition to Baykal. This is largely the fate of all political and social movements whose raison d'etre is based on individuals. All political and social movements deployed to replace or destroy a person

They lose their meaning when the reasons for their emergence disappear.

As a matter of fact, Baykal's abrupt withdrawal from the political scene exposed the Turkish Change Movement and quickly eliminated its raison d'etre. After the late Bülent Ecevit, the DSP became a signage party, and the area where the CHP could maneuver in the left lane widened. This situation relatively increased the specific weight of the CHP in the political scene.

Since the military coup of September 12, 1980, 7 general elections have been held. For the first time in the eighth general election to be held on 12 June 2011, a leftist party (ie CHP) has the potential to receive at least 90 percent of all left-wing votes. It will not be a surprise that the CHP's vote share will reach 28-35% in the elections to be held in June.

It seems inevitable that this picture and movement in the left lane will have a major impact on the voting behavior of right-wing voters. For this reason, we will witness interesting alliances and political developments in the right lane before the upcoming general election.

Reflexes of the right voter...

With the start of the new year, our country will quickly enter the election atmosphere. Certain circles (from politics, the army, the judiciary, the business world, some social organizations and the outside world) who want to get rid of the AK Party government have opened unlimited credits to Kılıçdaroğlu. Moreover, most of the active media in forming public opinion are in the same line.

CHP is having a serious problem in putting forward a new vision for the country. For this reason, the effort to gather votes directly through opposition to the AK Party draws attention rather than which projects they will implement when they come to power. Due to this vicious policy, it is possible that the CHP administration will follow a more aggressive policy towards the AK Party and harden its tone as the ballot box approaches.

If the media-supported Kılıçdaroğlu wind continues in its current state, and if the CHP administrators prefer to continue their opposition to the AK Party in a way that will hurt the right-wing voters in an increasingly bipolar political atmosphere, right-wing voters will form a cluster around the AK Party, which is currently the strongest party on the right. It's possible that it's the cause.

It seems that the election to be held in June will witness the race of 2 powerful parties, one from the right and one from the left, for the first time. The bipolar political atmosphere will not only negatively affect all small parties on the right and left as the election approaches, but will also cause them to have great difficulties in raising awareness.

Interesting alliances.

Although the status quo in our country apparently perceives the separatist organization as a threat, it is even investigating the grounds for the CHP - BDP alliance in order to remove the AK Party from power. Moreover, there is an effort to bring together all the political actors on the right (Demirel, Cindoruk, Erbakan, Şener, Yılmaz, Çiller, Baş, etc.) with a slight decrease in the AK Party votes and the expectation of division. However, the biggest handicap of such unions that are expected to be formed is the election atmosphere that is likely to become bipolar.

As the CHP, led by Kılıçdaroğlu, is polished due to the opposition to the AK Party, it is possible that all right-wing voters who are interested in small right-wing parties will involuntarily show a psychological resistance to the left and this will benefit the AK Party.

As a matter of fact, although HAS Party, led by Numan Kurtulmuş, is not expected to join the broad-based right-wing alliance listed above, the escalating AK Party – CHP rivalry and the reaction that may occur at the base of the HAS Party against the above-mentioned union are also relevant for the HAS Party, which can be said to have a base close to the AK Party. constitutes a disadvantage. Just as the Saadet voters turned to the AK Party in the 2002 elections...

The fact that the MHP sided with the CHP in the past 2 years, especially in the referendum process, and acted with a similar political discourse, created discomfort in the party base. In the event that the political atmosphere becomes sharply bipolar as the ballot box approaches, there is a possibility that there will be a slight shift from the MHP votes to the AK Party.